BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 105 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-7) Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength = 144.92
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2019 Home W 167.84 34 6 1A 118 ( 4- 8) East Carolina 22.52 5.48
2 09/07/2019 Home W 151.01 41 0 1B 106 ( 3- 9) Western Carolina 5.69 * 35.31
3 09/14/2019 Away L 142.41 27 44 1A 62 ( 5- 7) West Virginia -2.91 -14.09
4 09/21/2019 Home W 160.29 34 23 1A 85 ( 5- 7) Ball St 14.97 -3.97
5 09/28/2019 Away L * 142.03 13 31 1A 57 ( 6- 7) Florida St -3.29 -14.71
6 10/10/2019 Home W * 156.20 16 10 1A 83 ( 5- 7) Syracuse 10.88 -4.88
7 10/19/2019 Away L * 135.11 24 45 1A 73 ( 6- 7) Boston College -10.21 -10.79
8 11/02/2019 Away L * 127.17 10 44 1A 54 ( 8- 5) Wake Forest -18.15 -15.85
9 11/09/2019 Home L * 143.67 10 55 1A 3 ( 14- 1) Clemson -1.66 * -43.34
10 11/16/2019 Home L * 142.93 20 34 1A 55 ( 8- 5) Louisville -2.39 -11.61
11 11/21/2019 Away L * 142.73 26 28 1A 114 ( 3- 9) Georgia Tech -2.59 0.59
12 11/30/2019 Home L * 132.48 10 41 1A 34 ( 7- 6) North Carolina -12.85 -18.15
Averages 145.32 22.1 30.1
Best game: 167.84 = 28 point win over East Carolina
Worst game: 127.17 = 34 point loss to Wake Forest
Team stdev: 11.74